| If you play exotic bets like exactas, quinellas, trifectas, | | | | what the bettors thought was a pretty good win bet. |
| and superfectas, then you probably have realized that | | | | The bettors may have thought another horse had a |
| just figuring out who is going to in the race is not | | | | good chance to win the race, but may not have been |
| enough. Wheeling one horse in an exotic bet is an | | | | the best of the field, but they still bet it as the second |
| expensive proposition. In order to be cost effective | | | | favorite. They passed over the horse that often |
| and profitable, you need to narrow your exotic bets | | | | finishes second or third because they figured it didn't |
| down. | | | | have what it takes to win. |
| The way most people do this is to try to figure out | | | | They were right about that. The second placer doesn't |
| which horse is likely to win and then which horse is | | | | have what it takes to win and rarely does, but it has |
| second most likely to win, etc. The process is finding | | | | what it takes to beat out more favorable looking |
| probably winners and rating each one's chances and | | | | horses for second or third. Just as there are race |
| then using the second most likely horse in second and | | | | models for winners, there are race models for place |
| perhaps the third most likely as well. | | | | horses and show horses. You may know how horses |
| But here is a news flash, the horse that is second | | | | run who win races at your favorite track, but do you |
| most likely to win is not necessarily the most likely | | | | know the model for place and show? If not, you may |
| horse to place. If you want to successfully play | | | | be throwing money away on exotic bets that include |
| exotics, you need to be able to figure out tiers and use | | | | too many secondary runners because you don't know |
| them to structure cost effective wagers. Tiers are the | | | | which ones to eliminate. |
| parts of a wager or race result that reflects the fact | | | | A good way to train yourself to fill profitable exotic |
| that horses run at different levels and are likely to finish | | | | bets is to practice identifying good place and show |
| in a certain order. | | | | bets. When you do this, and stop looking for winners, |
| There are some horses that will often place, but | | | | you'll find that there are races run within races for |
| seldom win when faced with a level of competition or | | | | different positions in the herd. While jockeys do their |
| a certain age group of horses. Remember, horses are | | | | best to overcome this tendency of some horses to |
| herd animals and have a herd mentality. Despite the | | | | favor a position in the herd, the nature of the horses |
| jockey's urging some horses will settle into the herd | | | | often wins out and the horse who want to run just off |
| and run in a certain position, therefore, they are likely to | | | | the leader toward the end of the race will often do |
| finish in a certain position. | | | | just that. |
| Look at the stats for the horses on your program and | | | | Learn to spot those horses and play them in the |
| you may notice certain horses that have a running | | | | second and third spot. Don't put a horse in the third or |
| style and favored position in the herd. For instance, | | | | second spot just because it is almost as good as the |
| there are a lot of horses that will come from well off | | | | one you think has the best chance to win, because |
| the pace to finish second or third most of the time, but | | | | that is what the crowd will do and those payoffs will |
| who rarely win. That isn't by chance, but rather by | | | | be over played and therefore, not profitable. Put the |
| design. That is where that horse wants to be and | | | | horse in that spot who truly belongs in that spot and |
| expects to be. | | | | you'll cash nice mutuels and understand the true nature |
| That horse has quite a bit of ability and manages to | | | | of horse racing and horses much better. |
| place itself there time after time, often beating out | | | | |