| Putting together a system is not as difficult as it may | | | | The first 3 rules of any systems I quantify as the main |
| sound, even for a beginner. The important thing, and | | | | system rules, they ensure we have the main set of |
| with any betting, is that you write down every rule and | | | | qualifiers we are looking for. Those rules after, I regard |
| follow it for at least 100 bets. You do not need to | | | | as filters to take out any facts I know are not |
| trade real money, paper trading is best at first. If after | | | | profitable long term. |
| 100 bets it is in profit, you can then give it a betting | | | | Rule 4: Horse age must be 6+ |
| bank and start gambling. | | | | This is because in the UK, horses are not generally full |
| Starting an untested system with real money, and | | | | wound up for jumping until they are at least 6, so those |
| packing it in on its first losing run, putting it down as | | | | of a lower age have erratic results that do not prove |
| failed, will only cost you more and more money in the | | | | profitable, so no use including them. |
| long term. Being patient saves you money. | | | | Rule 5: Horse must have finished 2nd or worse on its |
| So let us get down to starting a system eh? I'll show | | | | last run. |
| you below how simple they are to put together, this | | | | Horses that won last time out usually go off at lower |
| example is profitable, so no reason why you can not | | | | odds than they should, so an edge is taken away. |
| follow it with a betting bank, but its yearly profits are | | | | Rule 6: Must be a gelding. |
| not huge, but have a go at your own, always making | | | | Geldings win the majority of races over fences, and |
| sure that you understand way a rule works. | | | | are generally have the most consistent and reliable |
| The system below is designed for National Hunt racing. | | | | form. |
| 'The NH High SR Non-Handicap Fav System' | | | | Rule 7: Going must be Good-Soft or better. |
| Rule 1: Non-Handicap races only. | | | | Any softer than this and results can get a bit random. |
| This ensures that we do not include handicap races, | | | | That is it. Over the last 10 years it has produced a |
| which are more difficult to get profitable systems out | | | | 48pt profit even at those low odds, and a 63% SR |
| of. Although when you do they are more profitable | | | | overall. It has had 3 losing years in that period, the |
| than non-handicap races. | | | | worst being 5pts, but using the betting exchange |
| Rule 2: Forecast Favourite only (if joint VOID bet) | | | | prices, they would also have shown a profit.. There are |
| Just to make sure we have one clear qualifier for our | | | | around 100 bets per year. |
| non-handicap race. | | | | So you can see by this example, it does not profit |
| Rule 3: Forecast price must be odds on. | | | | every year, but long term it still shows a profit, and it is |
| I know that the lower the odds the more likely it is to | | | | long term that any professional gambler will tell you is |
| win, although the lower the odds the smaller the profit | | | | the only time span that matters. |
| for a new bank. | | | | |